Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.351585 1.538817 1.742561 1.980749 2.251607 2.550091 2.904071
2025-11-23 1.065217 1.320597 1.622725 2.006599 2.481621 3.050567 3.784510
2025-11-30 0.890936 1.171542 1.523261 1.996661 2.617762 3.405836 4.483505
2025-12-07 0.757995 1.046017 1.424531 1.958656 2.693874 3.671928 5.074977
2025-12-14 0.652123 0.938386 1.330356 1.906631 2.733603 3.879821 5.593931
2025-12-21 0.577020 0.862039 1.266921 1.884471 2.804378 4.127201 6.180596
2025-12-28 0.541131 0.836644 1.270795 1.955661 3.011311 4.581354 7.103240
2026-01-04 0.487312 0.777719 1.217848 1.934102 3.073595 4.821993 7.720625
2026-01-11 0.457877 0.752790 1.212960 1.984010 3.247572 5.243823 8.653032
2026-01-18 0.422312 0.714032 1.181884 1.987666 3.345541 5.550685 9.423486
2026-01-25 0.385203 0.668804 1.135621 1.960863 3.388853 5.769214 10.062185
2026-02-01 0.349403 0.622181 1.082447 1.916588 3.396872 5.926591 10.605881
2026-02-08 0.323091 0.592310 1.059704 1.931349 3.523787 6.324261 11.657584
2026-02-15 0.300233 0.566783 1.043032 1.957185 3.676936 6.789955 12.895441
2026-02-22 0.275075 0.533993 1.009435 1.947469 3.762094 7.138521 13.948883
2026-03-01 0.249322 0.497120 0.964225 1.910404 3.790409 7.381993 14.823704
2026-03-08 0.224932 0.460169 0.914907 1.859665 3.785760 7.559942 15.584874
2026-03-15 0.206576 0.433242 0.882199 1.838052 3.835808 7.847552 16.593533
2026-03-22 0.199616 0.428866 0.893799 1.907484 4.077901 8.541443 18.511792
2026-03-29 0.184286 0.405250 0.863703 1.886457 4.127920 8.844743 19.630944
2026-04-05 0.176786 0.397665 0.866220 1.935132 4.331530 9.488565 21.554116
2026-04-12 0.165963 0.381611 0.849023 1.938697 4.436045 9.928356 23.066689
2026-04-19 0.153696 0.361035 0.819934 1.912557 4.470870 10.217384 24.263787